Colts vs. Falcons: NFL Week 10 Odds and Prediction
On November 9, the NFL goes international with the Colts “hosting” the Falcons at the Berlin Olympic Stadium. This matchup is part of Week 10.
Recent Team Performances
Indianapolis suffered just its second loss of the season, falling 27-20 to Pittsburgh after committing six offensive turnovers—two more than in their first eight games combined. Atlanta dropped to a 3-5 record following a close defeat to the Patriots. Despite being 5.5-point underdogs, Raheem Morris’ Falcons covered the spread and currently hold third place in the NFC South.
Prediction and Analysis
“Based on the Falcons’ poor rush defense and the Colts’ success running the ball, my Colts vs Falcons prediction is the Atlanta Falcons Spread (+5.5, -110).”
The widespread public support for Indianapolis makes placing a bet on Daniel Jones risky. However, the Falcons, as significant underdogs, present value. Pittsburgh's sack pressure showed it is possible to disrupt Jones, and if Atlanta can build an early lead, their pass rush will be key to maintaining it.
Key Concerns
The Falcons’ defense has struggled against the run, ranking 24th in rush defense DVOA heading into this game. Conversely, Indianapolis ranks second in run offense, making this a critical matchup to watch.
“Entering this matchup, Geoff Ulbrich’s defense ranks 24th in rush defense DVOA. Indianapolis ranks second in the corresponding offensive category.”
Betting on this game carries risks, but the Falcons’ defensive vulnerabilities and the Colts’ rushing strength are major factors in the outcome.
Author's summary: This NFL Week 10 matchup in Berlin highlights contrasting strengths, with the Colts' powerful rushing attack facing the Falcons' weak rush defense, shaping a cautious betting outlook.