Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111
The lightweight bout at UFC Vegas 111 features Ismael Bonfim (20-5) against Chris Padilla (16-6), three fights before Bonfim's younger brother headlines the event. This preview continues our UFC odds series with a detailed prediction and pick for the matchup.
Fighter Backgrounds
Ismael Bonfim, 29, arrives at UFC Vegas 111 after a challenging run, holding a 1-2 record in his last three fights. His most recent bout ended in a first-round TKO loss to Nazim Sadykhov in February, marking the first knockout defeat of his career. Prior to that, Bonfim had gained momentum with a victory over Vinc Pichel in 2024.
Chris Padilla, 30, remains undefeated in the Octagon with a 3-0 UFC record. Known as "Taco," he spent a decade on the West Coast regional scene before making his UFC debut on short notice at Vegas 91, where he secured a submission win over James Llontop. He has since added a knockout against Rongzhu and a decision win over Jai Herbert.
UFC Vegas 111 Odds
According to DraftKings, Padilla enters the fight as an underdog again, continuing his surprising success in the UFC. Despite stepping in on short notice, he has won all three of his UFC appearances as an underdog.
"Nobody expected Padilla to be this successful when he stepped up on short notice, yet here he is."
Fight Outlook
While Padilla may not be the toughest opponent Bonfim has faced, his determination and past performances indicate he will challenge Bonfim’s resolve right from the start.
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